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I don't think you can overrate Google. They have the resources to become a formidable force in the IM world. I don't think MSN and Yahoo banded together to battle AOL. They have both been steadily grabbing market share from AOL. They ARE worried about Google.
Google wisely went with an open-standards IM protocol that encourages the use of other compatibile instant messengers (pretty much any Jabber-compatible client). They will win over customers by the millions, just as they did with Gmail. Microsoft, Yahoo and AOL are all afraid of Google, as they should be.
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